Early to
Rise: The Michael
Masterson Journal
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Michael
Masterson Journal
Saturday, September 4, 2010
Issue No. 58 - $1.91
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"True individual freedom
cannot exist without economic security and independence."
Franklin D. Roosevelt.
Are You Honest, Hardworking, and Financially Solvent?
If So, Read This -- You Won't
Like It, but Read It
Why You Should Be at This Year's
Bootcamp
Just about every adult I
know is concerned about the economy.
MB, who owns a furniture wholesaling
business, is wondering when consumers will
start shopping again. "I'm just treading water now," he says. "But I'm not making any profit. My employees are
getting
paid, but I'm not."
PE, a
real estate developer, fled the U.S. after his hundred-million-dollar developments went bust. Now he's building homes in Panama. "I wonder if I'll ever
get back home," he says.
My sister, a high school teacher, has seen many of her friends lose careers due to bud
get cut
backs. She
wants to
know if we are in a "recovery" that will protect her
job or if things will
get worse next year.
Nobody
knows for sure what will happen. And when I'm not sure about the future, my rule is to hope for the
best but plan for the worst.
The
best we
can hope for? A gradually improving economy with full health restored in 5 to 7
years.
The worst? A massive, worldwide
Great Recession as long and as deep as the
Great Depression.
In this essay, I hope to do two things.
1. Show you why I believe the worst-case scenario is about 100 times more likely than the
best-case one.
2. Give you a three-part plan to survive and prosper.
Why Things Are
Likely to Get Worse
Since the
real estate bubble inflated and collapsed,
trillions of
dollars have disappeared from Ameri
can pocketbooks.
And millions of Ameri
cans -- actually,
tens of millions -- are now, for all intents and purposes,
bankrupt.
My view of what happened differs a bit from the story that's been told by our
government and most economists.
Wealth didn't magically appear and disappear. What happened was that the
government, banks,
brokers, and
real estate professionals colluded in the biggest wealth transfer in the history of the world.
Wealth (stored
assets) shifted from the bank accounts of teachers and plumbers and merchants into the bank accounts of bankers,
brokers, lawyers, and others who participated in the scam.
The wealth I'm talking about is not the
tens of
trillions in trumped up property values that disappeared. That wealth never
really existed.
The
money that was cleverly shifted from one large group of
people to a much smaller one consisted of hard-earned savings.
A signifi
cant portion of that transfer came from fees -- the billions and billions of
dollars in fees charged by the bankers,
brokers, and lawyers for all the
new and second mortgages, the appraisals, the insurance, the legal vetting, etc.
But even more of it came from mortgage
payments. While property values were falling, millions of Ameri
cans did their
best to
keep up with mortgage
payments, often emptying their bank accounts in a futile attempt to maintain "good credit."
That transfer was probably in excess of a trillion
dollars, and it hasn't stopped. There are still
tens of millions of Ameri
cans "under water" who will
keep paying till they
can't or enter into settlements that will, essentially, leave them
bankrupt.
So most Ameri
cans are poorer now, or will be very soon, while the banking and brokerage community -- protected as it has been by the
government -- is richer and will become richer still.
But that is not the entire problem.
Our
government itself is
bankrupt. Its
debt far exceeds its
assets, and that
debt has been spiraling skyward since the Clinton administration.
Whether it was to fight the "war" on terror or to finance fraudulent brokerages and irresponsible banks, the federal
government has been taking on
debt faster than at any time in its history. We are talking about
tens of
trillions of
dollars.
And finally, there are all the future financial obligations that our legislators have voted in. Financing the baby boomers' retirement in the next 20
years will cost additional
tens of
trillions of
dollars.
The total, by any count, is more than a hundred trillion. And one
way or another, every single dollar of it must be
paid back.
Who will
pay back these
trillions?
Not the financial masters of the universe that planned it all... not the banks,
brokers, and lawyers that promoted it... and certainly not the
government.
No. These
trillions will be
paid back by the
people who have been foolish enough to (a) work hard, (b)
start businesses, (c) employ other
people, (d)
create new products and services, (e)
make profits, (f) save those
profits, and (g) not fall for stupid scams and schemes like the
real estate bubble.
And there aren't many of them. They comprise less than 20% of the population. But they will
pay back 80% of the remaining
debt. That is a 100% certainty.
And why will the sins of the 80% be
paid for by the 20%?
Because no one else
can pay it
back.
Our
government can't
pay it
back. It is
bankrupt. And he majority of the population won't be
able to
pay it
back because they don't have anything.
So it must be
paid back by the honest, frugal tax
payers who still have wealth -- the
middle-class and upper-class Ameri
cans who still have
assets.
If you have
assets, that means you. It doesn't matter whether you are a billionaire or have a net worth of $10,000.
They -- the 80% of America that is (or will soon be)
bankrupt -- are coming after you. And they will have the
government and the financial community at their sides.
There are three
ways that they will
get your
money:
1. If you have a good
income, the
government will
make you
pay more
taxes. If you have
assets, they will
make you
pay higher "wealth/property"
taxes on those
assets.
2. Consumption
taxes will be introduced -- "private"
taxes on every product or service you purchase. These
taxes will take the form of increased banking, insurance, transportation, purchasing, and other fees -- all tied to
new regulations meant to "protect: us.
3. The economy will be sluggish. Income, on a relative scale, will decrease. And with your
income shrinking while your expenses rise, you will ultimately become poorer... unless you do something radical.
If you think this is crazy speculation, do this. Post this now on your calendar for 2015. Read it again then and see how crazy it seems.
If you don't think I'm crazy and
want to do something to protect yourself,
pay close attention to the rest of this message.
Recognize that you will not be
able to avoid the three-stage assault I outlined above.
* You will not be
able to avoid the
extra income taxes you will have to
pay. If you do try to
get fancy with your
taxes you will end up in jail. This is not an avenue worth pursuing.
* You will not be
able to avoid
paying the
extra "private"
taxes on everything you buy from now on. These will be buried in the fine print. You won't
find them. And even if you do, you'll be required to
pay them because the regulations that are being written right now to "protect" us contain clauses that allow banks and brokerages and so on to pass along their
extra costs to their customers.
* And, finally, you are not going to be
able to avoid the effects of stagflation. Prices will increase. But your salary will not. And the value of your cash-based
assets (it doesn't matter they are in
dollars or euros or whatever) will diminish.
But there is something positive you
can do. Actually, there are three things:
1. Keep your
job. There is a good chance that the
business you work for will continue to
make payroll cuts in the months and
years ahead. The
best way to protect your
job is to become an invalu
able employee. When your boss has to
make the tough decisions about who
gets cut, who
gets cut
back, and who stays, you
want him to
want to
keep you.
2. Put your savings in tangible
assets: gold,
real estate, and, if possible, your own private
business.
3. Create additional
streams of
income. This is the only
way you
can hope to build your wealth during the coming
Great Recession.
I am a big believer in multiple
streams of
income. I
started working on mine about 20
years ago. At first, the
streams were mere trickles. Now, each one of them is more than I need to live on. And I have about a dozen of them.
That's why I'm not personally worried. But if you don't have a dozen
streams of
income, you should be.
How to Create Extra Income
If you have at least a hundred grand in cash, you
can create income in two
ways:
1. You
can invest in rental
real estate. I'm
doing that now and I'm
getting cash flow of between 5% and 10% on my
money.
2. You
can invest in quality, dividend-
paying stocks. If you are interested in
doing this, I suggest you follow Andy Gordon's recommendations in the Sound Profits
newsletter. LINK to SP
If you don't have a hundred grand to invest, then you
really have no choice. To
create a vi
able second stream of
income you must
start a side
business -- something you
can do evenings and weekends.
You could mow lawns or clean windows. But that's hard work for modest
pay. The kind of
business I recommend is one that (a) doesn't require very much
start-up capital, (b) provides you with
job satisfaction, and (c) could eventually allow you to quit your day
job.
As an
Early to
Riser, you are in luck. Because at ETR's annual Info-Marketing
Bootcamp, LINK we specialize in helping
people start this kind of
business, specifically online. (And the Internet gives you a big advantage over brick-and-mortar
businesses because entry costs are low and the market is huge.)
Our experts help you
find the right niche -- one with the most profit potential that matches one of your passions or areas of expertise. The technical side is no problem because they show you how to use tools as easy to use as e-mail. And the marketing strategies they teach are based on what they themselves use every day.
This kind of
business really
can give you a size
able second (or third) stream of
income... while
doing something that is both enjoy
able and
can be leveraged.
Let me give you a couple of examples:
PJ McClure was a veteran of the corporate world (earning a six-figure salary!) when he came to his first
Early to
Rise Bootcamp. There, he gained the confidence to
start a side
business -- "The Mindset Maven" -- focused on his life's passion: self-improvement. Since then, he's been
able to quit his corporate
job and work solely on growing his online
business. PJ will be at
Bootcamp again this year. He secured five joint venture partnerships at the last one, and he's coming
back for more. Plus, he will be acting as a goodwill ambassador to the "
newbies."
Then there's longtime
Early to
Riser Mike Garvey. He credits what we teach at
Bootcamp LINK with a big part of his success. His
business, which helps employers
keep track of employee driving records, brings in $2.3 million a year. "To say that ETR changed my life is an understatement," says Mike. "I owe you a
debt of gratitude that
can probably never be re
paid."
These are just two of the hundreds of success stories that come out of
Bootcamp.
If you
want to
create an
extra stream (or
streams) of
income for yourself, the
business model taught at
Bootcamp is the
best way I
know of to do it.
It works. It has worked for ETR, of course. It has worked for my clients. And it has worked for many other
people who have used it to generate their own
income streams, including hundreds of our customers.
Bootcamp is in just a few months. And in order to
get the $500 discount ETR is offering to "early birds," you have to sign up now.
This is a great chance -- maybe the
best chance you will ever have -- to
get to the next level of financial success. If you're serious about taking charge of your future, be there! LINK
**
Don't Kill the Thoroughbred!
FK: 4.1
You have hired a rain
maker -- someone who
knows how to
create new business. He is
doing great. Revenues and
profits are going up. Gradually, you've let him take on more responsibility.
Then you
find out he's
doing something "wrong." Perhaps he's coming in late or using the company car for personal reasons or yelling at his employees. You call him into your office and speak to him. He promises to do better. But the complaints persist. What do you do?
Ultimately, that's up to you. But if I were you, I wouldn't fire him. I might
keep a closer rein on him. But I wouldn't fire him.
Rain
makers are a rare breed. They have the ability to bring in
new business. Whether they are sales
people, marketers, or product producers, they
know what it takes to bring
people in the door.
To achieve their potential, they must be given space to run -- but they must also be managed or they
can become impossible to deal with.
They're like winning thoroughbreds. They may need
extra care and sometimes more supervision, but they are worth it.
If you had a prize-winning horse and you found out that it was biting its handlers and bucking its trainers, would you kill the horse? Of course not. You'd
find new handlers and trainers if need be.
As you
know, I am a
cigar smoker. For two
years, I've been a regular after-work fixture at a
cigar bar about a block from my office. I found out about the place because the guy in charge,
Joe, did a great
job of sponsoring various events to promote his
business. And I became a customer because he had a welcoming personality and al
ways made me feel like a king.
One example: Before my seat hit the stool, he'd have an espresso on the bar waiting for me. He refused to take
money for it. And I
paid him
back with lots of
cigar purchases.
One day a few months ago, I walked in to
find out that
Joe had been fired. Hell! I thought
Joe owned the place. Apparently not. And apparently the owner felt he was giving a
way too many free drinks and spending too much
money on events.
I talked to the owner. I told him I thought he'd made a serious mistake in letting
Joe go. I shared my thoroughbred horse analogy with him. He didn't
get it.
Today, I'll bet he wishes he had listened. The
cigar bar doesn't do half the
business it used to do.
I heard the owner has put the
business up for sale. And I heard that
Joe is setting up a competing
business down the road. I will be surprised if he doesn't
get back most of his old customers.
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[Ed. Note: Michael
Masterson welcomes your questions and comments. Send him a
message at AskMichael@ETRFeed
back.com.]
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